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The New Space Race

Ross Douthat interviews Jared Isaacman, NASA's new administrator, billionaire entrepreneur, and SpaceX astronaut who has flown to space twice and conducted the first private spacewalk. The conversation takes place at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Maryland, inside a spacecraft magnetic test facility used for...

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Interesting Times with Ross Douthat episode thumbnail: The New Space Race
Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Key Takeaways
  1. 01

    NASA plans to launch Artemis II this spring, sending astronauts around the moon for the first time in 50 years

  2. 02

    "We are a speck of sand in the grandest, vastest desert imaginable" - Isaacman on viewing Earth from space

  3. 03

    The moon base will initially "look like a junkyard for a while" with rovers and landers burning out after single lunar nights

  4. 04

    Nuclear power and propulsion demonstration planned by end of 2028, enabling Mars missions within 10 years

  5. 05

    "We have not developed anything in 60 years other than launch observation and communications" for orbital economy

  6. 06

    SpaceX's Starlink represents the only profitable program exploiting space's unique environment that consumers pay for

  7. 07

    China's lunar program follows Apollo's approach, creating a race that "could come down to a year or two"

  8. 08

    Asteroid mining for platinum and rare minerals is "inevitable" though timeline remains uncertain

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Ross Douthat interviews Jared Isaacman, NASA's new administrator, billionaire entrepreneur, and SpaceX astronaut who has flown to space twice and conducted the first private spacewalk. The conversation takes place at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Maryland, inside a spacecraft magnetic test facility used for calibrating satellites.

The discussion covers NASA's Artemis program to return to the moon, plans for Mars exploration, the role of private companies like SpaceX and Blue Origin, and the challenges of developing a sustainable space economy. Isaacman outlines ambitious timelines including nuclear propulsion demonstrations by 2028 and potential Mars missions within a decade.

Key topics include the technical and financial realities of establishing lunar bases, the limited success of orbital commerce beyond communications and Earth observation, and the geopolitical dimensions of the new space race with China.

Artemis Program: Returning to the Moon After 50 Years

Artemis II will launch this spring, accelerating four astronauts to 25,000 mph past the moon and back, testing systems for eventual lunar landings using the Space Launch System with heritage from shuttle components.

The initial lunar base will "look like a junkyard for a while" with rovers and landers that burn out after single lunar nights, evolving over 10 years into permanent infrastructure as costs decrease.

NASA's $25 billion annual budget is sufficient for the mission, with Isaacman noting "the Manhattan Project adjusted for inflation was $30 billion" and emphasizing efficient capital allocation over increased spending.

Both SpaceX and Blue Origin are contracted to build lunar landers capable of delivering 100 tons of mass to the surface, enabling rapid base construction.

The Harsh Reality of Space: Microgravity and Risk

"Your best case scenario for your first three to five days in space is you feel like you're hanging upside down from your bed, like endlessly" - Isaacman on microgravity effects.

50% of astronauts experience "horrific motion sickness" regardless of Earth-based motion sickness susceptibility, with fluid shifts causing cognitive and vision impacts.

The moon presents far greater challenges than the International Space Station's protected low Earth orbit, with no atmosphere or magnetosphere protection from radiation and days-long return times versus 90 minutes.

Isaacman criticized NASA's handling of the Starliner project, emphasizing the need to "own our shortcomings" and maintain accountability to prevent repeated failures.

Private Space Industry: Beyond Government Contracts

"We have not developed anything in 60 years other than launch observation and communications" for profitable space commerce, with most programs still government-funded.

Starlink represents the only true commercial success story, creating consumer value exceeding costs by exploiting space's unique environment for global communications.

Potential space-based AI data centers could leverage unlimited solar power, though heat rejection in vacuum remains a major technical challenge requiring creative orbital solutions.

Medical research in microgravity enables "densifying cancer-treating compounds through crystal formulations that you could not do on Earth," though commercial breakthroughs remain elusive.

Mars Mission: Nuclear Power and 10-Year Timeline

Nuclear electric propulsion acts "like trains" rather than airplanes - not faster but capable of moving massive cargo loads across the solar system efficiently.

NASA will demonstrate nuclear power and propulsion by end of 2028, with Mars missions possible within 10 years given sufficient political will and commercial capability maturation.

Nuclear reactors on Mars surface would provide power for propellant production from local resources, eliminating the need for "endless football fields of solar panels that get covered in dust."

Mars exploration requires human presence because 20-minute transmission delays make real-time Earth control impossible, necessitating on-orbit AI decision-making and problem-solving.

Space Race with China and Geopolitical Stakes

China follows an Apollo-style approach to lunar exploration, creating a race that "could come down to a year or two" compared to the 1960s when America had more schedule flexibility.

"The high ground has always been of strategic and even tactical significance since the beginning of humankind" - Isaacman on space's military importance.

China blurs lines between civilian space exploration and military objectives, unlike NASA's focus on "peaceful exploration of science and discovery."

Ice deposits on the moon represent valuable real estate for both nations, though "nothing on the moon right now that's worth taking up arms over."

Economic Drivers: Asteroid Mining and Resource Extraction

Asteroid mining for platinum and rare minerals is "inevitable" though current lunar resources offer no economic advantage over Earth-based extraction, including Helium-3 for fusion.

"At some point in time or another, we're going to be mining asteroids" with rare minerals in "far greater quantity than you would have on Earth."

Rapid reusability and orbital refueling represent the "sail and oars" breakthrough needed to make space commerce economically viable by eliminating spacecraft disposal costs.

Economic drivers beyond government funding are essential because "taxpayers, world governments" cannot fund multiple space stations and planetary outposts alone.

Search for Life and UFO Phenomena

Multiple NASA announcements over decades suggest "there's a good chance that there was microbial life" on Mars, though definitive proof requires human sample return missions.

Discovering life on Mars and Europa would shift perspective from "surely it must be somewhere" to "what if it's everywhere" across 2 trillion galaxies.

Most UFO encounters likely involve classified military technologies, with Isaacman noting "people misidentified a lot of what was flying in the 1960s and 80s" including B-2 and F-117 programs.

"Why would you always pick our naval bases?" - Isaacman questions why alleged extraterrestrial visitors target military facilities rather than population centers like Times Square.

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