All-In Podcast · the podbrain notes ·
7 min read

Bernie Sanders: Stop All AI, China's EUV Breakthrough, Inflation Down, Golden Age in 2026?

The episode features the core four hosts discussing AI policy, economic data, and technology competition with China. David Sacks serves as Special Government Employee (SGE) for AI policy in the Trump administration.

All-In Podcast All-In Podcast
Subscribe to Notes Upgrade
All-In Podcast episode thumbnail: Bernie Sanders: Stop All AI, China's EUV Breakthrough, Inflation Down, Golden Age in 2026?
All-In Podcast
Key Takeaways
  1. 01

    "AI is the new lightning rod for fear and for divisiveness that ultimately breeds compliance and control" - Chamath on political manipulation of AI concerns

  2. 02

    Vanguard study shows job growth at 4.6% and wage growth at 3.8% in AI-exposed occupations versus 0.7% for other jobs, contradicting job loss narratives

  3. 03

    China's National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund has invested $40 billion in lithography technology, with Tsinghua University publishing breakthrough research on alternative manufacturing methods

  4. 04

    "If we took our leadership in the AI race and just handed it to China, this would be the biggest own goal ever" - Sacks on Bernie Sanders' proposed data center moratorium

  5. 05

    California's proposed billionaire tax has triggered estimated $100-200 billion exodus over next 5-10 years, fundamentally changing state's economic trajectory

  6. 06

    CPI inflation came in at 2.7% versus 3.1% expectations, with core inflation at 2.6% and trending at 1.6% over last three months according to Kevin Hassett

  7. 07

    Federal workforce decreased 10.7% in 2025, from 2.4 million to 2.15 million workers, with 162,000 government job losses from September-November due to DOGE buyouts

  8. 08

    ASML's EUV lithography machines cost $250 million each, take six months to make, and represent America's "single biggest advantage in the AI race" - Sacks

Get the latest ideas from All-In Podcast.

Plus the best new takeaways about artificial intelligence from other top podcasts — read in minutes, not hours.

or

By continuing, you agree to podbrain's Terms and Privacy Policy.

These notes may contain occasional inaccuracies. Learn how podbrain notes are made

The episode features the core four hosts discussing AI policy, economic data, and technology competition with China. David Sacks serves as Special Government Employee (SGE) for AI policy in the Trump administration.

Bernie Sanders proposed a moratorium on new data centers, arguing billionaires are pushing AI for power while causing unemployment. The hosts debate whether this represents legitimate concern or misguided fear-mongering funded by anti-AI organizations.

Economic numbers show mixed signals: unemployment rose to 4.6% from 4% in January 2025, but inflation beat expectations at 2.7% versus 3.1% forecast. Federal workforce declined by 162,000 jobs due to DOGE buyouts ending September 30th.

Reuters reported China allegedly used former ASML engineers to reverse-engineer extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, the only technology capable of producing advanced chips. Freeberg claims China has made independent breakthroughs beyond simple reverse engineering.

The conversation touches on California's exodus driven by proposed wealth taxes, with hosts discussing relocations to Austin, Texas. Trump signed an executive order reclassifying marijuana from Schedule 1 to Schedule 3.

Bernie Sanders' AI Moratorium Proposal Sparks Debate

Bernie Sanders proposed Congress put a moratorium on new data centers, arguing billionaires push AI for money and power while causing massive unemployment. He cited statements from Skates, Stario, and Elon about AI replacing most jobs.

"If you actually look at the data, if you look at what kids are doing, it's so much more interactive and engaging for them to talk to their friends on Snap or to watch videos on TikTok" - Sacks distinguishing AI chatbots from social media concerns

Sacks argued Sanders "can't stop China from making progress" and that stopping US development would be "the biggest own goal ever if we took our leadership in the AI race and just handed it to China."

AI optimism poll shows 83% of people in China believe benefits will outweigh harms versus only 39% in the United States, revealing stark perception gap between countries.

Future of Life Institute received $600 million from Vitalik Buterin's donated dog coins (including Dogecoin and Shiba Inu) and has funded journalism fellowships and NIMBY organizations opposing data centers, according to Semaphore investigation.

"We have hundreds of these front organizations, and they're all really just funded by a few big tech billionaires: Dustin Moscovitz, Jan Talin, and Vitalik Buterin" - Sacks citing Neerit Weisblatt's analysis of the "Doomer industrial complex"

Tech Industry's Communication Problem on AI Benefits

"We have a huge perception issue in AI. We have a handful of companies. All the PR that you see from those handful of companies is a bunch of circular deal making, a bunch of capital that flows from one to the other" - Chamath on industry's image problem

Chamath invoked Gilded Age industrialists as model: Andrew Carnegie built 2,500 libraries, John D. Rockefeller invested in universities, Henry Ford focused on wages. "We need to self-organize better and we need to be more on the forward foot."

"Half the country doesn't own stocks, so they're not participating in it. And they're not blind to seeing self-driving cars or seeing their kids having a hard time getting a job" - Jason on disconnect with average Americans

Chamath stated tech leaders "have gotten the message" and are working on solutions, predicting announcements in 2026. Education identified as top priority for demonstrating practical benefits to Americans.

"The litmus test, quite honestly, is in three, four, five, six months, Jason, when you see the trickle of progress, if we can get organized, does your perception change?" - Chamath positioning Jason as early warning system for public sentiment

Vanguard Study Debunks AI Job Loss Narrative

Vanguard study analyzed job growth and wage growth in occupations highly exposed to AI automation versus all occupations, finding both metrics higher in AI-exposed jobs: 4.6% job growth versus 1.6% for other occupations.

Wage growth in AI-exposed occupations measured 3.8% versus 0.7% for other jobs. "As you make workers more productive, the value of their labor increases, not decreases, and they end up getting paid more" - Sacks

Yale Budget Lab study showed no discernible disruption to job market based on 33 months of data after ChatGPT launch. AI boom contributing 2% tailwind to GDP growth from CapEx investments.

Sacks identified Mott and Bailey fallacy in AI job loss debate: critics make outrageous claims about current job loss, then retreat to irrefutable future predictions when confronted with data showing no current disruption.

Jason cited Uber stopping driver hiring in Los Angeles markets where Waymo operates as concrete example of displacement. Uber responded by acquiring data labeling company to create AI jobs for displaced drivers.

November Economic Data Shows Mixed Signals

Unemployment rate rose to 4.6% from 4.4% in September and 4% in January 2025 when Trump took office. US economy added 64,000 new jobs in November after losing 104,000 in October.

October's 162,000 job losses came from federal government due to DOGE buybacks taking effect September 30th. Private employment increased 121,000 jobs from September to November despite overall decline of 41,000.

CPI inflation came in at 2.7% versus 3.1% expectations, beating forecasts significantly. Core inflation dropped to 2.6%, lowest level since March 2021. Kevin Hassett stated core inflation running at 1.6% over past three months.

Federal workforce decreased 10.7% in 2025, from 2.4 million to 2.15 million workers, representing "the first decrease in the federal workforce in decades" according to Sacks.

Real wages up over $1,000 on average, with $1,300 for factory workers and $1,800 for construction workers. This contrasts with Biden years where real wages declined approximately $3,000 per worker.

Gas prices at lowest level in five years, below $3 nationally. Federal deficit reduced year-over-year by $600 billion, helping bring interest rates down.

Trump's approval rating at historic lows, particularly on inflation and economy, according to Silver Bulletin meta-analysis. "The American people don't believe the Trump administration" on economic promises - Jason

China's Lithography Breakthrough Threatens US Chip Advantage

ASML is Dutch company worth $400 billion, 22nd largest market cap globally, and only manufacturer of EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet) lithography machines. Machines cost $250 million each, take six months to produce, use Carl Zeiss lenses.

Trump's Secretary of State Mike Pompeo convinced Dutch government in 2018 to ban EUV machine sales to China. Reuters reported China used former ASML engineers to allegedly reverse-engineer the technology.

"EUV lithography, these machines that are made by ASML is probably our single biggest advantage in the AI race because they're the only machines that are capable of creating, say, two to three [nanometer chips]" - Sacks

China's National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund invested $37 billion across three phases: Phase 1 (2014) focused on manufacturing/FABs, Phase 2 (2019) on design/materials, Phase 3 (2024) explicitly targeting lithography bottlenecks.

Tsinghua University research Light Science and Applications "Advancements and Challenges in Inverse Lithography Technology, a Review of Artificial Intelligence-Based Approaches" demonstrating neural network breakthroughs.

"China is not just in a catch-up race, they're in a primacy race. And they are trying to develop primacy in lithography technology, which will give them primacy in manufacturing, which will give them primacy in AI" - Freeberg

Chinese researchers discovered methods using sub-optimal optics with AI to compensate for diffusion, potentially eliminating need for precision Zeiss optics. Research teams publish until getting ahead, then publications stop as CCP or industrialization takes over.

China achieved 7-nanometer chips with DUV (Deep Ultraviolet) lithography in Huawei Mate 60 Pro, pushing technology far beyond expected 14-nanometer limit. Huawei's Cloud Matrix 384 technology strings 384 Ascend chips into racks comparable to NVIDIA performance.

Freeberg predicted Huawei announcements in 2026 with impact in 2027, stating "it is very likely the case that Huawei already has a lithography system that they'll be putting into production."

California Exodus Accelerates with Wealth Tax Proposal

"That one bill, that one bill, this proposed billionaire tax, has single-handedly changed the trajectory of the California economy by $100 to $200 billion over the next five to 10 years" - Chamath on wealth tax impact

California pension fund system underfunded by approximately $1 trillion. "These folks in the California pension fund system are sitting around waiting for money to come to them every year for the next 30, 40, 50 years, and the money isn't there" - Chamath

"By not defending the property rights that are endowed in this country, they lost everything" - Chamath on politicians' failure to oppose wealth tax, triggering mass exodus of high earners.

California replaced castle doctrine with duty to retreat, meaning homeowners must flee rather than defend property during break-ins. "They literally are telling the criminals, hey, listen, if you break into somebody's home in California, don't worry about getting shot" - Jason

Major Hollywood producer and high-profile comedian partner relocated to Austin after meeting Jason at football game. Producer has produced billions of dollars worth of films and plans to start making movies in Texas.

Austin real estate market operates with 80% of inventory off-market in non-reporting state, compared to 20% on MLS. Lake properties face noise from motorboats starting 7 AM with people approaching within feet of homes.

All-In Podcast
From All-In Podcast. Get a note like this from every new episode.
Subscribe to Notes Upgrade

These notes may contain occasional inaccuracies. Learn how podbrain notes are made

0 / 0
Link copied