Unchained · the podbrain notes ·
3 min read

DEX in the City: Why Prediction Markets Could Spark a Huge Constitutional Fight

This episode features Jesse, a Web3 prosecutor turned Web3 protector at Rivet Capital, V from the SEC to Web3, and host KK Catherine from Starkware. The conversation covers recent CFTC developments, crypto crime trends, and regulatory challenges.

Unchained Unchained
Subscribe to Notes Upgrade
Unchained episode thumbnail: DEX in the City: Why Prediction Markets Could Spark a Huge Constitutional Fight
Unchained
Key Takeaways
  1. 01

    CFTC's new Innovation Council has only 3 women out of 35 members, raising representation concerns in crypto policy

  2. 02

    Chair Behnam aggressively defends CFTC jurisdiction over prediction markets against state interference in Wall Street Journal op-ed

  3. 03

    Sam Bankman-Fried files Rule 33 motion for new trial from prison, claiming prosecutorial misconduct and new evidence

  4. 04

    Physical attacks on crypto holders increased 75% year-over-year with over 70 reported incidents in 2024

  5. 05

    An estimated 220,000 people are currently trapped in human trafficking compounds running crypto scams globally

  6. 06

    Nancy Guthrie kidnapping highlights how crypto crime is moving from digital to real-world violence

  7. 07

    Privacy technology and zero-knowledge proofs could mitigate targeting risks for crypto holders

Get the latest ideas from Unchained.

Plus the best new takeaways about bitcoin from other top podcasts — read in minutes, not hours.

or

By continuing, you agree to podbrain's Terms and Privacy Policy.

These notes may contain occasional inaccuracies. Learn how podbrain notes are made

This episode features Jesse, a Web3 prosecutor turned Web3 protector at Rivet Capital, V from the SEC to Web3, and host KK Catherine from Starkware. The conversation covers recent CFTC developments, crypto crime trends, and regulatory challenges.

The discussion begins with analysis of the CFTC's newly announced Innovation Council, examining both its potential benefits and concerning lack of diversity. The hosts then explore Chair Behnam's aggressive stance on prediction markets jurisdiction and his public confrontation with state regulators.

The episode takes a darker turn examining Sam Bankman-Fried's latest legal maneuvers and the growing trend of real-world crypto crime, including the tragic Nancy Guthrie kidnapping case and the alarming rise in physical attacks on crypto holders.

CFTC Innovation Council Lacks Diversity Despite Good Intentions

The CFTC transformed its Technology Advisory Committee into a 35-member Innovation Council, but only 3 members are women, raising serious representation concerns.

"I'm the biggest believer of if you can see it, you can be it. Every time I've had a notable speaking engagement, I put my five-year-old daughter in front of the screen" - KK on the importance of representation.

The committee consists entirely of CEOs rather than policy experts or lawyers who typically handle regulatory interactions, potentially limiting its effectiveness.

"I'm extremely skeptical that you're ever going to get 35 CEOs in a room together and accomplish anything productive whatsoever" - KK on the practical challenges.

Chair Behnam Goes to War Over Prediction Markets Jurisdiction

Chair Behnam published a Wall Street Journal op-ed stating the CFTC would "no longer stand idle" while states infringe on their prediction markets jurisdiction.

Behnam directly confronted Chris Christie's campaign to ban American prediction markets, declaring "We're simply not going to allow that to happen."

The aggressive stance marks a shift from Behnam's confirmation hearing comments where he said he hadn't made up his mind on prediction markets.

Prediction markets operated on Wall Street for hundreds of years with hundreds of millions in today's dollars betting on presidential elections before gambling attitudes changed.

The issue will likely reach the Supreme Court sooner than expected, potentially within the next year rather than the anticipated three years.

Sam Bankman-Fried's Prison Hail Mary for New Trial

SBF filed a Rule 33 motion seeking a new trial, claiming new evidence and alleging prosecutors pressured witnesses.

"Federal judges do not grant new trials lightly. Like this almost never happens. The burden is really, really high" - V on the motion's slim chances.

The fraud case was "unusually straightforward" with overwhelming documentary evidence, unlike complex financial fraud cases that take years to investigate.

Even if pardoned, SBF would still face civil liability, as presidential pardons only cover federal criminal charges, not civil matters.

"We need to be really careful not to let SBF like try to push that narrative" - V on separating crypto regulation debates from clear fraud cases.

Crypto Crime Escalates to Real-World Violence and Trafficking

Physical attacks on crypto holders increased 75% year-over-year with over 70 reported incidents in 2024, including the Ledger co-founder having his finger cut off in France.

The Nancy Guthrie kidnapping case, where Savannah Guthrie's 84-year-old mother was taken from her bed with Bitcoin ransom demands, brought crypto crime into mainstream attention.

An estimated 220,000 people are currently trapped in trafficking compounds in Cambodia and Myanmar, forced to run crypto scams against their will.

"Criminal networks lure people with fake job ads. So it's tech work, good pay, maybe a beautiful location, and they're pulling them from situations where maybe they're vulnerable" - Jesse on trafficking operations.

Privacy technology and zero-knowledge proofs could help mitigate targeting risks by obscuring individual crypto holdings from potential attackers.

"I am so exhausted of that argument because I'm just like, what is the point of this? Is every single time there is some sort of criticism of crypto, we just say, well, it's not as bad as fiat" - Jesse on moving beyond defensive comparisons.

Unchained
From Unchained. Get a note like this from every new episode.
Subscribe to Notes Upgrade

These notes may contain occasional inaccuracies. Learn how podbrain notes are made

0 / 0
Link copied