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Terra vs Jane Street, Circle Earnings & Robinhood’s Venture Fund | Weekly Roundup

This episode features discussions between crypto investment professionals analyzing the latest developments in stablecoins, regulatory changes, and market structure. The conversation covers major legal cases, earnings reports, and strategic investments shaping the digital asset landscape.

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Empire episode thumbnail: Terra vs Jane Street, Circle Earnings & Robinhood’s Venture Fund | Weekly Roundup
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Key Takeaways
  1. 01

    Jane Street faces lawsuit alleging insider trading in Terra collapse, with administrator claiming they used inside information to profit $80 million from UST's depegging

  2. 02

    Circle stock surged 35% after beating earnings with 43 cents per share vs 16 cents consensus, driven by better revenue mix from off-platform USDC usage

  3. 03

    OCC guidance prohibits stablecoin issuers from passing yield to end customers for holding or using stablecoins, protecting traditional banks' deposit advantages

  4. 04

    Tether invested $200 million in WAP at $1.6 billion valuation to integrate USDT payments for content creators across the platform's 18 million users

  5. 05

    Robinhood launched $1 billion closed-end fund trading publicly with positions in SpaceX, Stripe, and Databricks to give retail access to private companies

  6. 06

    Secondary transactions now represent one-third of VC exits versus 5% just years ago, creating robust private market liquidity infrastructure

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This episode features discussions between crypto investment professionals analyzing the latest developments in stablecoins, regulatory changes, and market structure. The conversation covers major legal cases, earnings reports, and strategic investments shaping the digital asset landscape.

Key topics include the Jane Street lawsuit over Terra's collapse, Circle's strong earnings performance, new OCC guidance restricting stablecoin yield payments, Tether's strategic investment in WAP, and Robinhood's innovative approach to democratizing private market access through a publicly-traded closed-end fund structure.

Jane Street Terra Lawsuit: Insider Trading or Market Efficiency?

Terraform Labs bankruptcy administrator filed lawsuit against Jane Street alleging they used insider information to front-run trades and accelerate UST's collapse, seeking to recover ill-gotten gains for creditors from the $40 billion wreckage.

The core allegation centers on Jane Street withdrawing $80 million from Curve pool just 10 minutes after Terraform Labs pulled $150 million, then shorting UST before public announcement.

"Whether or not that could be insider trading depends on what they were told beforehand and were they ready for this" - the case hinges on private communications through Telegram chat with Terraform team.

Legal precedent from Avi Eisenberg case shows courts ruled no fraud when protocols lack explicit terms of service prohibiting manipulation, establishing 'code is law' defense.

Circle Earnings Beat Drives 35% Stock Surge

Circle reported earnings per share of 43 cents in Q4, beating consensus estimate of 16 cents by 169%, driving stock from $60 to nearly $90.

Better revenue mix emerged as more USDC moved off-platform, allowing Circle to retain higher share of yield revenue instead of splitting with Coinbase at 50-50.

Circle Payment Network (CPN) expanded to 55 financial institutions with 74 more in eligibility process, including Santander, Deutsche Bank, and Societe Generale.

CPN processes $500 million monthly volume focusing on high-value underserved global trade corridors where dollar access is expensive and slow.

OCC Restricts Stablecoin Yield Payments to Protect Banks

OCC guidance prohibits stablecoin issuers from passing yield to end customers for holding or using stablecoins, even stricter than previous proposals that only banned yield for holding.

"If Americans were to earn yield on their checking and savings accounts, that's equivalent to a COVID stimulus check for every household in America" - banks clip 3-5% while paying consumers 0.3%.

The restriction slows stablecoin adoption as "there's not a fintech in the world that isn't actively building for stablecoins right now" but can't offer competitive yield products.

Industry pushback emerged in Senate banking hearing with senators questioning the regressive nature of protecting incumbent banks over consumer innovation.

Tether's Strategic WAP Investment Strengthens USDT Dominance

Tether invested $200 million in WAP at $1.6 billion valuation to integrate USDT payments across the platform's 18 million users and content creator ecosystem.

WAP generates $150 million annualized revenue from nearly $3 billion GMV, serving Gen Z content creators who prefer digital payments over traditional banking.

The investment furthers Tether's distribution strategy as USDT dominates 75% of stablecoin circulation, using balance sheet to entrench usability advantages.

Content creators globally, especially outside the US, actively prefer stablecoins for payments due to digital nativity and lack of robust traditional financial infrastructure.

Robinhood Democratizes Private Markets Through Public Fund

Robinhood launched $1 billion closed-end fund trading publicly on NYSE with positions in SpaceX, Stripe, Databricks, and other late-stage private companies.

The structure solves previous tokenization problems as companies prefer selling to single sophisticated counterparty rather than fragmented SPVs with transfer restrictions.

"The amount of wealth created in private markets is inaccessible to retail" as companies stay private longer, with IPOs now happening at trillion-dollar valuations.

Secondary transactions now represent one-third of VC exits versus 5% previously, creating robust infrastructure around late-stage private company liquidity.

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