MW
Mel Williams
Guest Β· 1 Episode
Key ideas from Mel Williams
- Exceptional investors approach markets from contrarian/first principles standpoints and have conviction to concentrate into winners - Mel
- AI companies are growing at unprecedented rates, reaching 1-to-5 or 1-to-7 ARR faster than traditional software's 1-to-3 pace
- Early stage AI valuations are frothier than growth stage rounds, with some growth rounds at healthier revenue multiples than peaks
- Power law dynamics are intensifying: more carnage expected alongside greater value creation than any prior venture cycle
- Platform venture firms struggle with seed investing due to negative signaling effects on their downstream investment capabilities
- Fund size matters but isn't determinative - largest funds often generate highest returns through virtuous cycles of talent and access
- TrueBridge has concentrated from 18 core managers in first fund to 10 managers today, force-ranking portfolio annually
- Network quality determines LP success more than any other factor - 'you're only as good as your network' - Mel